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The Internet Will Double in Size Every 5.32 Years

Written By: Youki on March 28, 2009 1 Comment

Softpedia reports on a study determining that the Internet will double in size every 5.32 years:

Moore’s Law was first used to predict the number of transistors that can fit on an integrated circuit, and argued that their number would grow exponentially over time. Indeed, current trends show that twice as many transistors can be placed on the same circuit in an interval of approximately 18 months. Now, newly-published research hints at the fact that the growth of the Internet follows the same trend, with experts saying that the World Wide Web will continue to increase its size by 100 percent every 5.32 years.

In the study, published in the New Journal of Physics, researchers led by Guo-Qing Zhang from the Institute of Computing Technology at the Chinese Academy of Sciences, tried to determine the trend in WWW growth over the past years. So, they recorded data between December 2001 and December 2006 and analyzed communication nodes for intermittent periods of 6 months. They learned that the Internet indeed follows Moore’s exponential law of growth, but, in addition, also found how the web evolves and the differences between its components.

[full article]

The Internet, being shaped by globally social, cultural, political, and economic forces, is likely to break the rule at some point.  Neat to think about, though.

 

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Happy Birthday to the WWW!

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One Response to “The Internet Will Double in Size Every 5.32 Years”

  1. Usree Bhattacharya on: 28 March 2009 at 6:09 pm

    It should be http://wow. from now on….heh.

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